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The probability of the Federal Reserve cutting interest rates by 25 basis points in December is 42.9%, while the probability of maintaining the current rate is 57.1%

Nov 18, 2025 06:07:42

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According to Jinshi reports, CME's "Fed Watch" shows that the probability of the Federal Reserve cutting interest rates by 25 basis points in December is 42.9%, while the probability of maintaining the current rate is 57.1%. By January next year, the cumulative probability of a 25 basis point cut is 48.2%, the probability of keeping the rate unchanged is 35.6%, and the cumulative probability of a 50 basis point cut is 16.1%.

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