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The probability of the Federal Reserve keeping interest rates unchanged in April is 92.8%, while the probability of a rate hike is 7.2%

Mar 20, 2026 06:03:44

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According to Jinshi News, the CME "Fed Watch" shows that the probability of the Federal Reserve raising interest rates by 25 basis points in April is 7.2%, while the probability of keeping the interest rate unchanged is 92.8%. In addition, the probability of a cumulative increase of 25 basis points by June is 9.2%, the probability of a cumulative increase of 50 basis points is 0.2%, and the probability of keeping the interest rate unchanged is 90.6%.

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