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The probability of the Federal Reserve keeping interest rates unchanged in March is 99.3%

Mar 11, 2026 20:24:42

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According to Jinshi reports, the CME "Fed Watch" shows that the probability of the Federal Reserve cutting rates by 25 basis points by March is 0.7%, while the probability of keeping rates unchanged is 99.3%. By April, the cumulative probability of a 25 basis point cut is 10.9%, the probability of keeping rates unchanged is 89.1%, and the cumulative probability of a 50 basis point cut is 0.1%. By June, the cumulative probability of a 25 basis point cut is 33.1%.

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