Institution: The global economy is highly resilient, and the risk of stagflation this time is much lower than during the Russia-Ukraine conflict

Benoit Anne from MFS Investment Management stated in a report that, given the potential strength of the global economy, the threat of stagflation this time is far lower than after the Russia-Ukraine conflict in 2022. The head of the company's market insights team noted that there are concerns in the market about a severe inflation shock following a significant surge in oil prices, "but currently we believe the risks of persistent inflation are not the same."

He mentioned that it is reassuring that the inflation market seems to agree with this view. He pointed out that the one-year inflation breakeven rate in the U.S. appears to have broken upward, while longer-term rates such as the five-year and ten-year rates have not changed much.