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The probability of the Federal Reserve keeping interest rates unchanged in March is 92.1%

Feb 18, 2026 06:22:45

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According to Jinshi News, the CME "FedWatch" shows that the probability of the Federal Reserve keeping interest rates unchanged until March is 92.1%, while the probability of a 25 basis point rate cut is 7.9%. By April, the cumulative probability of a 25 basis point rate cut is 23.6%, the probability of keeping rates unchanged is 75%, and the cumulative probability of a 50 basis point rate cut is 1.5%. By June, the cumulative probability of a 25 basis point rate cut is 50%.

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