Macroeconomist Analysis: The United States is heading towards a massive recession, while the Federal Reserve turns a blind eye

According to Finbold, macroeconomist Henrik Zeberg posted on the X platform that the Federal Reserve has over 400 PhD economists but still missed obvious and insightful economic patterns. He stated that we are heading towards a massive economic recession, and despite the Federal Reserve having ample resources, it remains oblivious to this.

Zeberg emphasized that understanding the correct sequence of events in the business cycle is crucial for predicting economic recessions, and the Federal Reserve's current expectations underestimate the severity and timing of the impending economic downturn.

The report states that he believes the unemployment rate has already risen before every major economic recession and remains a "never-fail" indicator. The U.S. unemployment rate reached 4.6% in November, the highest level in four years, approaching the recession threshold set by the Sam Rule, and raising the likelihood of an economic recession to about 40%.