Forecast market data: The likelihood of a U.S. government shutdown rises to 86%

ChainCatcher news, according to Gelonghui, reported that on Tuesday morning local time, the latest data from the Polymarket prediction market shows that the market expects the risk of a U.S. government shutdown this year to rise to 86% (up from 85% earlier). This possibility has been increasing after the final negotiations between Trump and congressional leaders failed to reach an agreement. Data from the Kalshi prediction market indicates that the likelihood of a U.S. government shutdown is 83%, which was about 70% before yesterday's White House meeting.