The market expects the Federal Reserve to cut interest rates slightly by 25 basis points next week

Sep 12, 2025 14:30:51

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ChainCatcher news, according to Jinshi reports, the market currently expects a 92% probability that the Federal Reserve will slightly cut interest rates by 25 basis points at the upcoming meeting, while the likelihood of a more aggressive cut of 50 basis points is only 8%. Rania Gule, a senior market analyst at XS.com, stated that although the inflation data is not particularly surprising, the weakening labor market may provide the Federal Reserve with more room. If negative signals continue in the coming weeks, the Federal Reserve may lean towards bolder actions. However, Gule added that the Federal Reserve's current stance remains highly cautious, and it is more likely to make small adjustments while leaving room for further easing in subsequent meetings.

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