Numerai
NMRDecentralized stock prediction competition platform
Performances
RD Popularity Index
RD Growth Index
| 1h | 24h | 7d | 30d | 60d | 90d |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.13% | 0.90% | 13.71% | 31.53% | 44.02% | 19.58% |
Comparison
Top Holders
| Address | Token | Quantity | Percentage | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0xb154...e859 |   NMR | 2,952,146.33 | 27.85% | $34.54M |
| Richard Craib (f291) | NMR | 494,621.22 | 4.67% | $5.78M |
| Binance 8 (acec) | NMR | 400,000 | 3.77% | $4.68M |
Open Markets
| # | Exchange | Pair | Price | +2% depth | -2% depth | Volume (24h) | volume % |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | BBithumbCEX | NMR/KRW | $9.62 | $5,362 | $27,060 | $282,344 | 2.58% |
| 2 | NMR/USD | $9.53 | $62,058 | $64,803 | $247,182 | 2.26% | |
| 3 | KKuCoinCEX | NMR/USDT | $9.52 | $16,722 | $15,844 | $103,569 | 0.95% |
| 4 | BBitgetCEX | NMR/USDT | $9.54 | $32,197 | $35,630 | $92,122 | 0.84% |
| 5 | BBingXCEX | NMR/USDT | $9.53 | $46,631 | $54,612 | $81,875 | 0.75% |
| 6 | OOKXCEX | NMR/USDT | $9.55 | $16,058 | $30,102 | $52,085 | 0.48% |
| 7 | UUpbitCEX | NMR/BTC | $9.61 | $6,092 | $7,250 | $49,836 | 0.46% |
| 8 | UUpbit Indonesia CEX | NMR/BTC | $9.61 | $0 | $0 | $49,816 | 0.46% |
| 9 | NMR/WETH | $9.5 | $2,664 | $2,656 | $15,387 | 0.14% | |
| 10 | NMR/USD | $9.58 | $406 | $5,008 | $13,237 | 0.12% |
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About Numerai
Numerai is an AI-driven hedge fund that runs a global data science tournament. It provides obfuscated financial datasets to thousands of anonymous data scientists, who submit machine learning predictions on future stock movements. These predictions are aggregated into a stake-weighted meta model that directly controls the fund's capital.
Its core competitive edge lies in the NMR token staking mechanism: scientists stake NMR on their models, earning rewards for accurate predictions or losing (burning) tokens for poor performance. This aligns incentives and makes overfitting economically irrational. The platform also protects intellectual property through data obfuscation, allowing contributors to share models without revealing proprietary features.
The market pain point Numerai addresses is the difficulty of sourcing diverse, high-quality alpha in quantitative finance. Traditional funds rely on small in-house teams, while Numerai taps into a global community of thousands of independent researchers, continuously refreshing model diversity.
In the past six months (2026-03-12 to 2026-09-12), Numerai completed a third strategic NMR buyback (totaling $3.2M in one year), released the Quantum dataset (v5.3) with over 800 new features, launched the Supernova update for Signals with integrated risk-awareness, and expanded its Model Context Protocol (MCP) to nearly 20,000 AI agent sessions. The roadmap also includes Atomic Blockchain Staking migration to Ethereum L2 with USDC staking options. These developments focus on improving staking infrastructure and AI agent integration, though they also increase system complexity and reliance on Numerai's centralized scoring and payout decisions.
Founded by Richard Craib in 2015, Numerai operates an AI hedge fund using open data and crowdsourced predictions . It raised $1.5M and $6M in 2016; in June 2017 it launched the NMR token and staking tournament: data scientists stake NMR to express confidence in predictions—earning rewards if models perform well, burning tokens if they fail . Staking significantly improved model quality and became the core flywheel. Later came OTC financings, an open-sourced API, and a master plan to "monopolize intelligence, data, and money, then decentralize the monopoly" . 2025 marked a major turning point: a JPMorgan investment commitment up to $500M , a $30M Series C at a $500M valuation , a strategic buyback totaling $3.2M in a year , and the founder clarifying that most TVL figures are wrong—actual TVL is about $20M . These milestones show Numerai evolving from a crowdsourcing contest into an institutional-grade crypto hedge fund ecosystem.
Positives: 1) Third strategic buyback completed, ~$1.2M NMR purchased, totaling $3.2M in a year, replenishing treasury and supporting tokenomics; 2) AUM rose from ~$560M to ~$700M, active accounts doubled YoY, ecosystem expanding; 3) v5.3 "Quantum" dataset (807 new features) launched, Atomic Blockchain Staking progressed, Signals v2.2 coming soon. Negatives: no major adverse news during the period.
Richard Craib: Founder and CEO. Holds a B.A. in Mathematics from Cornell University and studied at UC Berkeley and the University of Cape Town. Founded Numerai in 2015, using encrypted data science tournaments to apply machine learning to stock market prediction.
Dan Spier: President and COO. Served as COO since 2021 and became President in June 2025. Previously Head of Portfolio Trading at Aperio Group, Partner at Standard Pacific Capital, and Associate at Morgan Stanley.
Christopher Williams: Chief Financial Officer. Joined Numerai in 2022. Previously VP Accounting Manager at Morgan Stanley, Operations and Accounting Consultant at Altaba, Fund Controller at Kynikos Associates, and Senior Fund Accountant at State Street. B.A. in Economics from Boston College.