QCP: Global central banks maintain interest rates, technology spending and the Binance incident drive repricing

Digital asset trading company QCP pointed out in its latest market report that the Federal Reserve, the European Central Bank, and the Bank of Japan all kept interest rates unchanged this week, but the market is still betting that the European Central Bank and the Bank of Japan may raise rates in December. The Federal Reserve maintained the federal funds rate at 3.75% to 4.00% with a vote of 10 to 2 during the October meeting. Federal Reserve Chairman Warsh did not commit to any rate adjustments for December and beyond.

In addition, the Federal Reserve announced that there will be no rate votes at one meeting in 2027 and two meetings in 2028, which will only be used to discuss monetary policy strategy. QCP believes that the reduction in decision-making nodes may allow for the accumulation of more economic data between the two meetings, making the market more sensitive to data changes and increasing interest rate volatility and term premiums. The European Central Bank kept interest rates unchanged, citing that previous inflation data had not yet produced second-round effects, but the market still expects a possible rate hike in December. The Bank of Japan also kept interest rates unchanged and stated that inflation has reached the 2% target, with the market pricing in the possibility of a rate hike in December.

In terms of technology stocks, shares of Alphabet, Amazon, Meta, and Intel fell after announcing quarterly results, as the market is concerned about current corporate earnings performance and future capital expenditure plans, particularly focusing on the pace and profitability of AI infrastructure investment. In the cryptocurrency market, Binance experienced a significant security incident on Friday morning, affecting approximately $6.3 billion in assets, which initially led to a decline in trading activity in the cryptocurrency market. QCP pointed out that the market gradually stabilized afterward, with participants seemingly viewing this incident as a company-level risk rather than a systemic event affecting the entire cryptocurrency market or infrastructure, with central bank policy uncertainty, concerns over technology companies' capital allocation, and the Binance security incident collectively driving the market to reprice.