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The probability of the Federal Reserve keeping interest rates unchanged in April is 98.4%

Apr 6, 2026 06:13:43

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According to Jinshi News, CME's "Fed Watch" shows that the probability of the Federal Reserve raising interest rates by 25 basis points in April is 1.6%, while the probability of keeping rates unchanged is 98.4%. By June, the cumulative probability of a 25 basis point rate cut is 1.8%, the probability of keeping rates unchanged is 96.6%, and the cumulative probability of a 25 basis point rate hike is 1.5%.

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