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The probability of the Federal Reserve keeping interest rates unchanged in March reaches 99.1%

Mar 13, 2026 06:04:40

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According to Jinshi reports, CME's "Fed Watch" shows that the probability of the Federal Reserve keeping interest rates unchanged until March is 99.1%, while the probability of a 25 basis point rate cut is 0.9%. By April, the probability of keeping interest rates unchanged is 96%, and the probability of a 25 basis point rate cut is 3.9%. By June, the cumulative probability of a 25 basis point rate cut is 19.5%.

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