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Short-term inflation expectations in the United States have risen, potentially reaching 3% in the next year

Mar 9, 2026 23:52:44

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According to Jinshi reports, traders expect that as the Iran conflict continues, consumer inflation in the United States will accelerate over the next 12 months. Refinitiv data shows that bets in the inflation swap market reflect an expectation of inflation at around 3% for the coming year, up from about 2.4% at the end of February. The market indicates that inflation concerns are primarily focused on the short term, while expectations for the inflation rate over the 12 months starting a year from now remain relatively moderate, at around 2.4%.

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