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Analysis: The Federal Reserve is expected to cut interest rates once this year, while the European Central Bank will keep rates unchanged until 2027

Mar 6, 2026 15:06:45

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According to Jinshi News, Marco Valli and Daniel Vernazza, chief economists at UniCredit Bank's Investment Research Institute, stated in a report that military actions against Iran are expected to last for several weeks, and central banks can temporarily overlook short-term turmoil.

They mentioned that in the baseline scenario, the Federal Reserve is still expected to cut rates only once this year, while the European Central Bank will keep interest rates unchanged until 2027. The two chief economists added that the risks faced by the European Central Bank this year have shifted from additional monetary easing to the possibility of tightening policy earlier.

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