The probability of the Federal Reserve keeping interest rates unchanged in March is 97.3%

According to Jinshi reports, CME's "Fed Watch" shows that the probability of the Federal Reserve keeping interest rates unchanged until March is 97.3%, while the probability of a 25 basis point rate cut is 2.7%. By April, the cumulative probability of a 25 basis point rate cut is 12.5%, the probability of keeping rates unchanged is 87.3%, and the cumulative probability of a 50 basis point rate cut is 0.3%. By June, the cumulative probability of a 25 basis point rate cut is 30.7%.