The probability of the Federal Reserve keeping interest rates unchanged in March is 93.6%

According to Jinshi reports, CME's "Fed Watch" shows that the probability of the Federal Reserve keeping interest rates unchanged until March is 93.6%, while the probability of a 25 basis point rate cut is 6.4%. By April, the cumulative probability of a 25 basis point rate cut is 22.6%, the probability of keeping interest rates unchanged is 76.2%, and the cumulative probability of a 50 basis point rate cut is 1.2%. By June, the cumulative probability of a 25 basis point rate cut is 43.9%.