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The probability of the Federal Reserve keeping interest rates unchanged in March is 92.2%

Feb 17, 2026 06:03:46

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According to Jinshi News, the CME "FedWatch" shows that the probability of the Federal Reserve keeping interest rates unchanged until March is 92.2%, while the probability of a 25 basis point rate cut is 7.8%. By April, the cumulative probability of a 25 basis point rate cut is 25.3%, the probability of keeping rates unchanged is 73.1%, and the cumulative probability of a 50 basis point rate cut is 1.6%. By June, the cumulative probability of a 25 basis point rate cut is 52.6%.

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