The probability of the Federal Reserve keeping interest rates unchanged in January is as high as 95%
Jan 21, 2026 06:07:48
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According to Jinshi reports, CME's "Fed Watch" shows that the probability of the Federal Reserve keeping interest rates unchanged in January is 95%, and the probability of a 25 basis point rate cut is 5%. By March, the cumulative probability of a 25 basis point rate cut is 20.6%, the probability of keeping interest rates unchanged is 78.5%, and the cumulative probability of a 50 basis point rate cut is 0.9%.
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