The probability of the Federal Reserve keeping interest rates unchanged in January is 86.2%, while the probability of a rate cut is 13.8%

According to Jinshi News, CME's "Fed Watch" shows that the probability of the Federal Reserve keeping interest rates unchanged in January is 86.2%, while the probability of a 25 basis point rate cut is 13.8%. By March, the cumulative probability of a 25 basis point rate cut is 38%, the probability of keeping interest rates unchanged is 57.4%, and the cumulative probability of a 50 basis point rate cut is 4.6%.