The probability of the Federal Reserve keeping interest rates unchanged in January is 88.4%, while the probability of a rate cut is 11.6%

According to Jinshi reports, CME's "Fed Watch" shows that the probability of the Federal Reserve keeping interest rates unchanged in January is 88.4%, while the probability of a 25 basis point rate cut is 11.6%. By March, the cumulative probability of a 25 basis point rate cut is 40.3%, the probability of keeping interest rates unchanged is 55.4%, and the cumulative probability of a 50 basis point rate cut is 4.3%.