The probability of the Federal Reserve keeping interest rates unchanged in January next year is 81.2%

According to Jinshi reports, CME's "Fed Watch" shows that the probability of the Federal Reserve cutting rates by 25 basis points in January next year is 18.8%, while the probability of keeping rates unchanged is 81.2%. By March next year, the cumulative probability of a 25 basis point cut is 46.9%, the probability of keeping rates unchanged is 44.7%, and the cumulative probability of a 50 basis point cut is 8.5%.