Viewpoint: The absence of extreme increases in Bitcoin by the end of the year means there will be no crash in the first quarter

Anthony Pompliano stated in an interview with CNBC that the lack of a crazy price surge for Bitcoin by the end of the year could serve as a catalyst to prevent a significant crash in the first quarter of next year. He pointed out that given the current significant compression of Bitcoin's volatility, the likelihood of a 70% or 80% pullback is extremely low.

Anthony Pompliano mentioned that although Bitcoin has not reached the $250,000 target expected by some investors, it has risen 100% in two years and nearly 300% in three years, continuing to perform strongly in the financial markets. He added that while the reduction in volatility may disappoint holders who value upside potential, it also provides safety on the downside, reducing the probability of a major pullback.

Currently, Bitcoin is trading at $87,436, down 7.39% from the beginning of the year. Additionally, Peter Brandt predicts that Bitcoin could drop to $60,000 in the third quarter of 2026, while Fidelity's Global Macro Research Director Jurrien Timmer believes that Bitcoin's price could fall to $65,000 in 2026.