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CME data: The probability of the Federal Reserve keeping interest rates unchanged in January next year is 86.7%

Dec 24, 2025 08:12:51

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According to CME's "FedWatch": The probability of the Federal Reserve cutting interest rates by 25 basis points in January next year is 13.3%, while the probability of keeping rates unchanged is 86.7%. By March next year, the cumulative probability of a 25 basis point cut is 40.7%, the probability of keeping rates unchanged is 54.4%, and the cumulative probability of a 50 basis point cut is 5.0%.

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