Data: The probability of "Lighter's market value exceeding 2 billion dollars the day after its launch" on Polymarket is 83%
Dec 22, 2025 14:47:36
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In the "Market Cap (FDV) the Day After Lighter Launch" prediction event on Polymarket, the probability of the market betting over $1 billion is 87%, over $2 billion is 83%, and over $3 billion is 52%.

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