Tom Lee responds to the contradiction with Fundstrat's outlook: short-term defense and long-term bullishness can coexist

Regarding the contradictory outlook on Bitcoin from Tom Lee and his Fundstrat analysts (Tom Lee is bullish, while Fundstrat is bearish), Fundstrat client Cassian posted that the interpretation of this debate is unfair and misleading. Tom Lee retweeted and replied, "Well said."

Cassian stated: This interpretation is taken out of context; the actual situation involves collaboration among different teams, over different time periods, and with different responsibilities.

Cassian mentioned that the three core figures at Fundstrat have clearly defined roles: Tom Lee is responsible for the macro and liquidity framework and is the most vocal, maintaining a long-term bullish view on crypto assets; Sean Farrell, as the head of digital asset strategy, is responsible for specific crypto portfolios and position adjustments. Assuming BTC pulls back to $60,000-$65,000, he would convert about 50% of the portfolio to cash/stablecoins, which is a risk management action rather than a long-term bearish stance; Mark Newton approaches from a technical perspective, believing that the October pullback disrupted the original upward trend. He expects a rebound first, followed by a period of consolidation, and after structural repair, there is still room for growth by the end of the year. The three have a high degree of consensus on macro risk: the overall environment will be very unstable in the first half of 2026, with differences in that Sean focuses on short-term defense, Mark looks at technical structure repair, and Tom maintains a structural bullish view from a longer-term and liquidity perspective.

Cassian stated that he personally holds a large amount of BitMine stock and would not sell even if the price pulls back by 70%, because the risk of "missing out on a big rise" is greater than the reward of "trying to catch the bottom." He emphasized that understanding who is speaking, what their responsibilities are, and the time horizon is crucial. Once these pieces are put together, the claim that "Fundstrat is contradictory" falls apart.