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The probability of the Federal Reserve keeping interest rates unchanged in January next year is 73.4%

Dec 19, 2025 06:01:41

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According to Jinshi reports, CME's "Fed Watch" shows that the probability of the Federal Reserve cutting interest rates by 25 basis points in January next year is 26.6%, while the probability of keeping rates unchanged is 73.4%. By March next year, the cumulative probability of a 25 basis point cut is 46.8%, the probability of keeping rates unchanged is 41.8%, and the cumulative probability of a 50 basis point cut is 11.5%.

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