The probability of the Federal Reserve maintaining interest rates unchanged in January next year is 75.6%

Dec 17, 2025 06:02:47

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According to Jinshi reports, CME's "FedWatch" shows that the probability of the Federal Reserve keeping interest rates unchanged in January next year is 75.6%, while the probability of a 25 basis point rate cut is 24.4%. By March next year, the cumulative probability of a 25 basis point rate cut is 43.5%, the probability of keeping interest rates unchanged is 47.5%, and the cumulative probability of a 50 basis point rate cut is 9.1%.

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