Dot matrix interpretation: 1 person believes that interest rates should be cut 6 times in 2026, while 3 people believe that rates should be raised once

Dec 11, 2025 03:20:36

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According to Jinshi reports, the median of the Federal Reserve's dot plot indicates that the Fed will cut rates once in 2026, once in 2027, and maintain rates in 2028. Specifically, 3 people believe that there should be one rate hike in 2026 (compared to 2 in September), 4 people believe that rates should remain unchanged in 2026 (compared to 6 in September), 4 people believe that there should be one rate cut in 2026 (compared to 2 in September), 4 people believe that there should be two rate cuts in 2026 (compared to 4 in September), 2 people believe that there should be three rate cuts in 2026 (compared to 3 in September), 1 person believes that there should be four rate cuts in 2026 (compared to 2 in September), and 1 person believes that there should be six rate cuts in 2026 (compared to 0 in September) (Jinshi).

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