JPMorgan: The decline in Bitcoin prices, coupled with high electricity costs, has led to selling pressure in the market from high-cost miners

JPMorgan analysts believe that for the recent price trends of Bitcoin, the resilience of Strategy (stock code MSTR) is more important than miner activity. Although the world's largest Bitcoin holder has not yet begun to sell, Bitcoin miners seem to be facing increasing selling pressure.

JPMorgan Managing Director Nikolaos Panigirtzoglou and his team noted in a report on Wednesday that the recent pressure on Bitcoin prices is mainly due to two factors: first, the recent decline in Bitcoin network hash rate and mining difficulty; second, the latest developments surrounding Strategy. Analysts stated that the decline in hash rate and mining difficulty reflects the influence of two forces: China's reaffirmation of its ban on Bitcoin mining following a surge in private mining activities, and the low Bitcoin prices combined with high energy costs squeezing profits, leading to the exit of high-cost miners outside of China.

Analysts pointed out that while a decline in hash rate typically increases miner revenue, "Bitcoin prices are currently still hovering below their production costs," which brings selling pressure to the Bitcoin market. JPMorgan analysts have currently revised their estimate of Bitcoin's production cost down to $90,000, from $94,000 last month. According to analysts, this update is based on an electricity price assumption of $0.05 per kilowatt-hour, and for high-cost producers, every increase of $0.01 per kilowatt-hour will raise their production costs by $18,000.

JPMorgan's report stated: "Against the backdrop of high electricity prices and low Bitcoin prices squeezing profits, some high-cost miners have been forced to sell Bitcoin in recent weeks."