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The probability of the Federal Reserve cutting interest rates by 25 basis points in December is 74.7%, and the probability of a rate cut in January next year is 57.7%

Oct 31, 2025 06:05:40

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ChainCatcher news, according to Jinshi reports, CME's "Fed Watch" shows that the probability of a 25 basis point rate cut by the Federal Reserve in December is 74.7%, while the probability of keeping the rate unchanged is 25.3%. By January next year, the cumulative probability of a 25 basis point rate cut is 57.7%, the probability of keeping the rate unchanged is 16.6%, and the cumulative probability of a 50 basis point rate cut is 25.6%.

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