高盛預計美聯儲將在 9 月份降息
Jul 08, 2025 08:01:10
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ChainCatcher 消息,据金十數據報導,高盛預計美聯儲將在 9 月份降息,比此前預測提前三個月。這一轉變反映出一些早期跡象,即與關稅相關的通脹比預期溫和,而反通脹力量------包括工資增長放緩和需求減弱------正在形成。
該行美國首席經濟學家 David Mericle 估計,9 月份降息的幾率"略高於"50%,預計 9 月、10 月和 12 月將降息 25 個基點,2026 年初還會再降息兩次。高盛還將終端利率預期從 3.5%-3.75% 下調至 3%-3.25%。
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