Performances
Comparison
Details
This content is generated by RD AI and is for reference only
Predict is a prediction market protocol deployed on BNB Chain, allowing users to trade on the outcomes of real-world events such as politics, sports, crypto, and current affairs. Markets use YES/NO or multi-outcome contracts, with prices reflecting crowd-sourced probabilities. Open positions automatically earn yield through Venus Protocol, and settlement is driven by UMA's Optimistic Oracle: undisputed markets resolve in about two hours, while disputes go to a vote by UMA token holders. The platform is non-custodial: it uses Privy/ZeroDev to create smart contract wallets, no seed phrase is required, and Predict never accesses private keys.
Fundraising
Follow Updates
Follow Lists
People
About predict.fun
Predict is a BNB Chain-based prediction market where users trade on outcomes of future events (politics, sports, crypto, current affairs). Contract prices range from $0.01 to $0.99, reflecting crowdsourced probabilities.
Three core mechanisms stand out. First, yield-bearing positions: through integration with Venus Protocol, collateral backing open trades automatically earns roughly 3%-5% yield, addressing the problem of capital sitting idle during settlement on traditional platforms. Second, trustless resolution: using UMA's Optimistic Oracle, markets settle in about two hours if undisputed, or go to a token holder vote if challenged. Third, non-custodial design: smart contract wallets manage assets without seed phrases, and the platform never accesses private keys.
Recent developments over the past six months: Predict acquired Probable, a competing platform in the same track, integrating Chinese community resources and ending internal competition on BNB Chain; Binance integrated Predict into its wallet app, covering gas fees to lower barriers for retail users.
Negative aspects: the post-acquisition point conversion ratio sparked controversy — Predict issues 100x more points weekly than Probable, but the 1:1 conversion effectively diluted user points by roughly 50x; Chinese market events have limited variables, and when consensus is highly aligned, markets degenerate into low-yield savings products.
Key milestones in Predict.fun's development include: CZ confirmed the founder previously worked at Binance and was incubated by YZi Labs, establishing the project's credibility. YZi Labs announced a strategic additional investment, strengthening capital backing. Binance Wallet integrated Predict.fun as its prediction market provider, marking a major distribution channel breakthrough. Predict.fun strategically acquired on-chain prediction platform Probable, consolidating the BNB Chain prediction market ecosystem. The airdrop announcement targeting BNB Chain Meme traders and Aster DEX participants expanded its user base. The Predict Developer Dashboard launched, enabling third-party application development and key management. Institutional-level block trading features were officially introduced, enhancing professional trading capabilities. Liquidity integration with Fortune and the AI Bot tool launch improved market efficiency. The platform also created a market on Polymarket's potential 2026 chain migration, demonstrating cross-ecosystem influence.
Over the past six months, Predict.fun announced a strategic funding round with YZi Labs and Susquehanna Crypto in March 2026, with cumulative volume exceeding $1.8B, aimed at improving capital efficiency and market quality. In April, it adopted Chainlink as core infrastructure, launching 15-minute BTC prediction markets, using CRE to automate market lifecycles and DataLink to access Binance order book data for near-instant settlement. It also became the official prediction market provider for Binance Wallet, integrated into the Binance app, allowing users to trade with Binance balances and sponsored gas fees. Subsequently, it became the first project to earn Predict Points directly within Binance and Binance Wallet, retroactively distributing ~3.3M points. Additionally, it reportedly acquired Probable to integrate technology, users, and team, reducing liquidity fragmentation.
Future focus: the team aims to build the most capital-efficient DeFi prediction market, expand market access, enhance trading infrastructure, deepen ecosystem integrations, and leverage Chainlink for high-speed automated markets, cementing BNB Chain as a prediction market hub.
dingaling (@dingalingts): Founder of Predict.fun. Previously served as Head of Research at Binance and founded PancakeSwap, a major DEX. He is a pseudonymous DeFi founder and angel investor in projects like Parallel, Metastreet, and Ultiverse. No reliable public information is available on other co-founders or current core executives.