The probability of the Federal Reserve maintaining interest rates unchanged in October has risen to 84%, while the probability of a 25 basis point rate hike has decreased to 17%

Oct 12, 2026 08:53:29

According to Polymarket data, the probability of the Federal Reserve raising interest rates by 25 basis points in October has dropped to 17%, while the probability of maintaining the current rate has risen to 84%. The trading volume for the related prediction event has reached 32 million dollars.

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