Data: The probability of "the Federal Reserve maintaining interest rates in October" on Polymarket has risen to 59%, up 28% in 24 hours

PPP market prediction tool monitoring shows that the probability of "the Federal Reserve maintaining interest rates in October" on Polymarket has risen to 59%, up 28% in 24 hours; the probability of a 25 basis point rate hike has dropped to 42%, down 27% in 24 hours.

At 20:15 Beijing time, the U.S. September ADP employment data will be released first, followed closely by the August PCE data, which is a key focus for the Federal Reserve. The market expects the core PCE year-on-year to remain at 3.3%.