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About Longshot
Longshot is a Base-based prediction market that launched in alpha on August 10, 2026. It positions itself as a fantasy-sports-style contest platform rather than a traditional order-book prediction market. The platform offers four contest formats—Survivor, Bracket, Roster, and Lineups—covering sports, crypto price direction (BTC/ETH/SOL up or down in five-minute windows), and cultural events. Free contests run alongside paid entries starting at $2, with prize pools around $100–$250. Its site also shows culture markets such as Anthropic S-1 filing and Geoguessr champion predictions. The core competency is low friction: no governance or utility token, no airdrop narrative, low fees via Base, and Coinbase ecosystem onboarding. This addresses pain points in existing prediction markets: high entry costs, complex wallet operations, and uneconomical small bets. Longshot provides free participation, $2 micro-stakes, and fast settlement for high-frequency five-minute crypto predictions. Development in the past six months: alpha launch on August 10, 2026; addition of culture markets around August 19–21, 2026, expanding beyond sports and crypto; and an early deposit-matching program for the first 100 users. The platform excludes U.S. users. No reliable major negative events were found, though post-subsidy retention remains unproven.
Longshot launched its alpha version on Base on August 10, 2026, marking its official entry into the prediction market space with a hybrid model combining sports forecasting, real-time crypto price direction bets, and culture markets. Around August 19-21, 2026, the platform introduced 'culture markets,' expanding its prediction surface beyond sports and crypto into broader cultural events, a strategic move that diversified its product offerings and signaled a shift toward more varied forecasting categories. These two milestones represent the platform's initial market entry and its subsequent product expansion, both of which are foundational to its long-term positioning within the Base ecosystem.
Longshot, a Base-based prediction market, launched its alpha on August 10, 2026, marking key progress. It offers free and paid contests (entry from $2, prize pools $100-$250) in formats like Survivor, Bracket, Roster, and Lineups. Unique features include 5-minute BTC/ETH/SOL price direction bets, plus culture markets added around August 19-21. Early adopters among the first 100 received deposit matching. The platform has no token and is available only in eligible non-US regions. The team said a full launch is near, but no detailed roadmap has been disclosed.
Longshot recently added a new team member: mikey joined in September 2026 as a Contributor. No departures were reported. This addition aligns with Longshot's ongoing development on Base.