The Block: On-chain data is insufficient to support Polymarket election bettors in obtaining polls in advance

According to The Block, after conducting on-chain analysis of the Polymarket account dubdubdub2, which was questioned by The New York Times, it was found that the trader has been engaging in large-scale speculation and DeFi trading for a long time, holding relevant election positions until settlement, rather than profiting immediately after the polls were released.

Transaction records also indicate that the trader may have continued to place bets 10 minutes after the Nebraska poll was released. Two interviewed experts believe that the existing evidence does not strongly indicate wrongdoing, but it cannot be completely ruled out. Polymarket previously stated that it is investigating.