Opinion: The probability of the market predicting Lighter FDV exceeding 2 billion dollars is 82.3%

Nov 12, 2025 17:30:23

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The prediction market platform Opinion released the expected FDV (Final Deal Valuation) for Lighter, with the market estimating an 82.3% probability that the FDV will exceed $2 billion; a 51% probability that it will exceed $4 billion; and a 27% probability that it will exceed $6 billion.

It is reported that Lighter is a perpetual contract trading protocol. According to the latest data from DefiLlama, Lighter's 24-hour trading volume has surpassed $11 billion, ranking first among Perp DEXs; the second and third places are held by Hyperliquid ($9.1 billion) and Aster ($6.6 billion), respectively.

According to previous reports from ChainCatcher, Lighter announced the completion of $68 million in financing, led by Founders Fund and others.

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